Sweden's 2026 election is decided. Forming a government is not.

Sweden voted on 13 September 2026, and the national count is now complete. The Election Authority established the Riksdag result on 19 September. The 349 seats split 176 for the centre-left parties — Social Democrats, Left, Centre and Greens — and 173 for the outgoing right bloc of Moderates, Sweden Democrats, Christian Democrats and Liberals.

The result is narrow but not ambiguous. The Social Democrats won 99 seats, the Moderates 70, Sweden Democrats 62, Left Party 30, Centre Party 25, Christian Democrats 22, Greens 22 and Liberals 19. Turnout was reported at 84.9 per cent, with 6,834,413 votes cast. Regional and municipal counting followed separate timetables, so those results should not be conflated with the established parliamentary result.

Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson resigned on 17 September after conceding the right bloc's defeat. Speaker Andreas Norlén then gave Social Democrat leader Magdalena Andersson the first mandate to explore a government. That begins negotiation rather than ending it: Sweden's negative parliamentarism requires that no majority vote against a proposed prime minister.

The central difficulty is between parties whose seats are needed for the majority. The Left Party has pressed for cabinet participation, while the Centre Party has rejected governing alongside it. A three-seat bloc advantage leaves almost no tolerance for abstention or defection. A minority cabinet, confidence-and-supply arrangement or extended negotiation therefore remains possible.

Migration, gang violence, household costs and the condition of welfare services shaped the campaign. Those issues do not point automatically to one coalition. They instead create overlapping mandates: stricter administration and public safety alongside economic relief and stronger services.

This is a developing institutional story, not a prediction market. The verified fact is the Riksdag allocation; the unresolved question is who can survive a confirmation vote. MEGA EU will update this analysis when the Speaker's process produces a formal proposal.